Trump Beats Biden in 5 of 6 Battleground States in 2024 U.S. Presidential Matchup: New York Times/Siena College Poll
Minorities increasingly back Trump.
Despite facing a litany of legal challenges, Former President Donald J. Trump has pulled ahead of Joe Biden in five out of six critical swing states, as revealed by recent polling data from The New York Times and Siena College.
Trump’s political resilience appears to be fueled by Americans’ anxiety over economic issues and a general disenchantment with President Biden, especially with regard to his age.
The Times/Siena polls indicate that Trump’s advance is propelled by waning confidence in Biden's policies among young, Black, and Hispanic voters, groups that previously bolstered Biden's 2020 victory.
Trump's policies are remembered favorably by many, and his perceived acumen in managing the economy and national security is drawing more voters to his side.
The survey results show that in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, Trump has overtaken Biden by margins ranging from 4 to 10 percentage points.
Wisconsin remains the outlier, where Biden holds a marginal lead.
Concerns about the economy loom large over Biden's presidency, with over half of the electorate describing it as poor, despite substantial efforts to tout his post-pandemic recovery plans.
Trump is seen as the more capable leader on economic matters, outpacing Biden by 22 percentage points in voter trust, a consensus spanning age groups, ethnic backgrounds, and education levels.
Monica Fermin, 51, from Allentown, Pennsylvania, expresses disappointment in Biden's handling of the pandemic and the economy, stating, "Jobs are down because Biden didn’t know how to handle the pandemic."
Fermin, who chose Biden in the last election, now questions his capacity to lead due to his age and is considering a shift in her vote.
"Biden is too old and doesn’t have the capacity mentally,” she said. “We need somebody stronger. I think Trump can deliver this time.”
Trump's gains among minority voters are notable. In Nevada, Georgia, and Arizona, his lead ranges from five to ten points.
Notably, his support among African Americans in these battleground states has surged to 22 percent, a significant uptick from the 8 percent reported in 2020.
John Royster, 55, an Atlanta truck driver, appreciates that Trump “says what’s on his mind.”
The former president’s appeal among Hispanic voters has also grown substantially since his 2016 presidential campaign, with 42 percent of Hispanic swing-state voters now backing him.
This support eclipses that of other Republican figures like Nikki Haley and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
The Trump campaign is keen on capitalizing on these gains, scheduling an interview with Univision and tailoring messages to Latin American immigrants in Florida who are wary of socialism.
The economic challenges appear to be the pivot on which Hispanic voters are basing their decisions, prioritizing financial issues over social concerns.
Elaine Ramirez, 38, a Democrat from Las Vegas, expresses her disenchantment with Biden: "I think for me it’s all the broken promises from Biden that make me want to switch to Trump."
Her sentiments echo a broader disappointment with Biden's unfulfilled economic promises, contrasted with Trump's assertive stance: "Trump is also more dominating and aggressive and maybe we do need someone like that to fix our economy and our country."